Arles vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
ARL
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 0
ARL
18%
22%
61%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 1
DIJ
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 2
TOU
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
ARL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
GAZ
3 - 2
IST
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
GAZ
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
GAZ
3 - 1
STL
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 0
GAZ
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 1
CLE
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |