Arles II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ARL
43%
23%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
4 - 0
ECH
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 1
ARL
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 0
OLY
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AGD
2 - 1
ARL
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 0
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
ECH
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |