Arles II vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARL
2 - 1
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ILE
4 - 3
ARL
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARL
0 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARL
3 - 0
LAS
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AIX
0 - 3
ARL
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
OLY
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
SCR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ILE
0 - 3
BAS
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
EVI
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LEH
5 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -3 |