Arkadag vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arkadag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 7
ARK
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 0
KAS
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 8
ARK
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARK
4 - 1
AHA
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 0
BFT
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 0
AGA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
KAS
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |