Arkadag vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arkadag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AHA
2 - 3
ARK
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ARK
6 - 1
EFT
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BFT
0 - 2
ARK
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 0
AGA
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
0 - 1
ARK
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
ALT
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
4 - 1
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
FKA
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
RAV
0 - 0
MER
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |