Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Siedlce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
ARK
2 - 1
APO
17%
24%
60%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GKS
0 - 0
ARK
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ARK
0 - 2
OLI
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CHR
0 - 0
ARK
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
ARK
0 - 1
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ODR
0 - 1
POG
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
RAK
2 - 2
POG
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
POG
1 - 1
RAK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
POG
3 - 0
FLO
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
POG
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |