Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LVG
3 - 6
ARI
13%
21%
67%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 0
ARI
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 0
ORS
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 1
ARI
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 0
ARI
18%
22%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
TAC
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
LAG
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
SAC
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
2 - 1
SAC
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 1
TAC
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |