Ariznabarra vs Zaramaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
6 - 1
AMU
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 3
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 2
CDS
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DAC
0 - 1
ARI
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 3
CSV
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 8
IRU
5%
13%
82%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AMU
3 - 2
ZAR
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CDA
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZAR
1 - 4
IKE
4%
12%
84%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |