Ariznabarra vs Zaramaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 3
ARI
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
ARI
11%
18%
71%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARI
3 - 2
CDS
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 1
ARI
13%
20%
67%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 3
IKE
68%
17%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 3
ZAR
6%
16%
78%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
IRU
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CDL
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |