Ariznabarra vs Zaramaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDS
1 - 1
ARI
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 0
CDF
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 1
ARI
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CFR
2 - 6
ARI
29%
23%
49%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 0
ELP
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CFR
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
ELP
1 - 0
ZAR
57%
23%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ZAR
4 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 2
ZAR
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ADC
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |