Ariznabarra vs Vulcano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SLV
1 - 0
ARI
55%
22%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ARI
3 - 1
TAL
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CDF
1 - 3
ARI
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 0
LAK
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CDV
2 - 0
ARI
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VUL
0 - 3
AUR
22%
25%
54%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ADC
3 - 2
VUL
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VUL
2 - 0
ZAR
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ELP
1 - 1
VUL
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
VUL
4 - 2
ALE
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |