Ariznabarra vs Vitoria B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
4 - 1
ARI
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 0
LAU
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
IRU
0 - 1
ARI
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
ELG
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARI
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
ZUI
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ZAR
3 - 2
TOR
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
CDS
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
CDA
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LAU
7 - 1
TOR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |