Ariznabarra vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
ARI
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
ARI
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
SNT
35%
27%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CDV
3 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LON
3 - 0
ARI
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
LON
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
DEU
4 - 1
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
BEA
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BFC
2 - 2
TOL
63%
21%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |