Ariznabarra vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CDU
9 - 0
ARI
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
0 - 0
SNT
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SES
4 - 1
ARI
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
BFC
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
URD
39%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 2
SAN
31%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LON
1 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
TOL
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
CDU
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 0
SNT
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |