Ariznabarra vs Chaminade Marianistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ZUI
2 - 1
ARI
12%
19%
70%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 0
CFR
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARI
3 - 0
IKE
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 3
ARI
6%
14%
80%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
1 - 0
IRU
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chaminade Marianistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ELP
4 - 0
IKE
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 5
ELP
8%
16%
76%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ELP
0 - 0
IRU
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
5 - 0
ELP
69%
19%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ELP
1 - 4
CDL
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |