Ariznabarra vs Nanclares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ELP
0 - 1
ARI
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 1
CDV
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ARI
4 - 1
ALE
74%
16%
9%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 1
ARI
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ARI
3 - 0
CDL
21%
24%
56%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Nanclares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 2
ZUI
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZAR
4 - 0
NAN
74%
17%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CLU
1 - 2
NAN
74%
17%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 4
ADC
43%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
NAN
43%
26%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |