Ariznabarra vs Nanclares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
ARI
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARI
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
IRU
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
ARI
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nanclares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 0
AUR
17%
23%
60%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ADC
1 - 3
NAN
54%
23%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
25%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 1
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 2
VUL
31%
25%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |