Ariznabarra vs SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
2 - 1
ARI
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 1
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
ARI
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 3
CDL
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ADC
3 - 0
ARI
15%
20%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
IRU
4 - 1
ZUI
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ZAR
3 - 1
IRU
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IRU
4 - 1
TOR
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
0 - 7
IRU
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
IRU
1 - 0
LAU
17%
22%
62%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +4 |