Ariznabarra vs SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
ARI
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ARI
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 3
ELP
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 4
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CDF
3 - 1
IRU
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
IRU
1 - 4
AUR
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
IRU
2 - 5
LAK
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ADC
2 - 3
IRU
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
IRU
2 - 2
CDV
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |