Ariznabarra vs CDF San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMU
2 - 2
ARI
23%
23%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
CDS
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRU
1 - 1
ARI
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 2
ARI
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
IKE
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
3 - 3
ADC
61%
18%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 3
AMU
47%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 2
CDF
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IRU
4 - 2
CDF
61%
18%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 1
CSV
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |