Ariznabarra vs CDF San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 1
ARI
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 1
NAN
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ELP
0 - 1
ARI
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 1
CDV
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ARI
4 - 1
ALE
74%
16%
9%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 1
ZUI
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CDF
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 1
TOR
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
CDF
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
AMU
2 - 1
CDF
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |