Ariznabarra vs CDF San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LAK
2 - 1
ARI
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ARI
0 - 2
CDV
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BRU
2 - 0
ARI
29%
25%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
NAN
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
ARI
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 1
CDF
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CDF
3 - 4
AUR
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ADC
0 - 0
CDF
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CDF
5 - 3
ZAR
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ELP
4 - 0
CDF
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |