Ariznabarra vs San Ignacio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 0
ADC
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
5 - 3
ARI
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 2
CDL
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
IKE
0 - 2
ARI
10%
17%
74%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
San Ignacio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CDS
3 - 4
IRU
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LAU
0 - 2
CDS
64%
19%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDS
4 - 1
IZA
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 1
ELP
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ALE
2 - 0
CDS
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |