Ariznabarra vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ELP
2 - 1
ARI
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 0
CDS
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDL
1 - 5
ARI
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 3
MKE
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 4
ARI
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDF
61%
19%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AMU
1 - 3
AUR
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
CDS
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IRU
3 - 2
AUR
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
CSV
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |