Ariznabarra vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
ADC
1 - 3
ARI
17%
22%
60%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARI
2 - 1
ZAR
60%
22%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ELP
1 - 3
ARI
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
ALE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VUL
2 - 2
ARI
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
AUR
5 - 2
IRU
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
AUR
6 - 0
ADC
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZAR
3 - 5
AUR
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
4 - 2
ELP
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 2
AUR
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |