Ariznabarra vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
ARI
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 4
IRU
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 3
IRU
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
ARI
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 2
IKE
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMU
3 - 3
CDF
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 2
AMU
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AMU
1 - 0
ELP
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
IRU
2 - 2
AMU
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AMU
4 - 0
CDA
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |