Ariznabarra vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 3
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 2
CDS
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DAC
0 - 1
ARI
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 3
CSV
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 3
ARI
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AMU
3 - 2
ZAR
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AMU
2 - 2
CDS
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
AMU
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AMU
1 - 1
DAC
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CSV
3 - 1
AMU
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |