Ariznabarra vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
IRU
3 - 0
ARI
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 4
ARI
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARI
2 - 0
ZUI
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VUL
1 - 3
ARI
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 1
ZAR
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AMU
4 - 0
CFR
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AMU
1 - 2
ELP
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 3
AMU
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
AMU
2 - 0
CDA
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ADC
0 - 4
AMU
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |