Ariznabarra vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZUI
0 - 0
ARI
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 1
ELP
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ARI
8 - 2
CDL
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
ARI
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 0
CDL
78%
13%
8%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 3
AMU
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 2
ALE
44%
23%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALE
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
HAU
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFR
0 - 5
ALE
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |