Ariznabarra vs Alegría analysis

Ariznabarra Alegría
18 ELO 17
2.5% Tilt 3.4%
8683º General ELO ranking 13056º
450º Country ELO ranking 2344º
ELO win probability
60.6%
Ariznabarra
18.9%
Draw
20.4%
Alegría

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
Ariznabarra
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.4%
Win probability
Alegría
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ariznabarra
+7%
+32%
Alegría

ELO progression

Ariznabarra
Alegría
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ariznabarra
Ariznabarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
ZUI
Zuia de Fútbol
0 - 0
Ariznabarra
ARI
39%
24%
38%
19 19 0 0
24 Sep. 2022
ARI
Ariznabarra
1 - 1
Chaminade Marianistas
ELP
62%
19%
19%
19 16 3 0
29 May. 2022
ARI
Ariznabarra
8 - 2
CD Lantarón
CDL
75%
15%
10%
18 12 6 +1
21 May. 2022
ARA
Aranbizkarra
1 - 1
Ariznabarra
ARI
5%
11%
84%
19 9 10 -1
14 May. 2022
ARI
Ariznabarra
1 - 0
CD Lakua Arriaga
CDL
78%
13%
8%
18 13 5 +1

Matches

Alegría
Alegría
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2022
ALE
Alegría
2 - 3
Amurrio
AMU
20%
21%
59%
17 24 7 0
25 Sep. 2022
CDS
San Ignacio B
1 - 2
Alegría
ALE
44%
23%
34%
17 17 0 0
29 May. 2022
ZAR
Zaramaga
1 - 1
Alegría
ALE
31%
22%
47%
17 14 3 0
21 May. 2022
ALE
Alegría
2 - 1
Hauskaitz KK
HAU
84%
11%
5%
17 7 10 0
14 May. 2022
CFR
Rioja Alavesa Luzerna
0 - 5
Alegría
ALE
11%
16%
73%
16 7 9 +1