Ariznabarra vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HAU
1 - 3
ARI
6%
12%
81%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ARI
3 - 1
CFR
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 5
ARI
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 5
ARI
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ARI
3 - 3
ADC
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
TOR
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
ALE
69%
16%
16%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
MKE
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 0
ALE
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 0
CDL
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |