Ariznabarra vs Abetxuko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ARI
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 3
ELP
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 4
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 2
VUL
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SLV
1 - 0
ARI
55%
22%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Abetxuko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ADC
0 - 4
AUR
17%
24%
60%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ADC
2 - 3
IRU
25%
24%
51%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ADC
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ADC
1 - 0
ELP
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 0
ADC
57%
22%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |