Ariza vs Sabiñan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 2
RIV
16%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
ARI
66%
19%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REM
0 - 0
ARI
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 4
TAU
22%
23%
55%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RBR
1 - 1
ARI
58%
21%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sabiñan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
SAB
2 - 3
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
EPI
9 - 1
SAB
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAB
2 - 4
CAL
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 4
SAB
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SAB
2 - 1
ZAL
19%
18%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |