Ariza vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+213%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
ARI
67%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 1
LMU
68%
16%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 1
ARI
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 1
OLV
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BOQ
2 - 2
ARI
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
NOV
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATE
4 - 0
MON
62%
18%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
8%
14%
79%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 2
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
PRA
15%
19%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |