Ariza vs CD Calatorao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 0
ARI
60%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 2
CAL
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRA
2 - 0
ARI
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 3
RIV
75%
15%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
ARI
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Calatorao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
CDC
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
OLV
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 3
CDC
27%
23%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
PRA
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 3
CDC
41%
23%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |