Aris Thessaloniki vs PAS Giannina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
12º
5º
18
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 1
KIF
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
OLP
4 - 1
ARI
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 0
PGE
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAO
0 - 0
ARI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
PAS Giannina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LAM
2 - 1
GIA
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
VNF
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 3
OLP
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 2
GIA
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 3
PAO
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |