Aris Thessaloniki vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
AST
2 - 0
ARI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
LOK
1 - 2
ARI
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 3
HKS
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
2 - 1
ARI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AST
1 - 0
AKZ
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
AST
2 - 0
ARI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AST
3 - 2
FCA
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
KAI
0 - 0
AST
21%
22%
57%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
AST
4 - 3
SHA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |