Aris Limassol vs Doxa Katokopias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
5º
2º
12
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 1
ARI
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 0
AEK
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 1
RAK
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
RAK
2 - 1
ARI
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 5
ARI
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
AEL
30%
30%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAF
2 - 1
DOX
74%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 1
DOX
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
NEA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 2
DOX
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |