Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
5º
5º
68
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 11 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
APO
2 - 1
ARI
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ARI
2 - 1
APO
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OMO
2 - 1
ARI
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAF
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 1
OMO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAF
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
APO
1 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |