Arguineguín vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arguineguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CDG
2 - 1
ARG
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
UNV
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VLS
3 - 2
ARG
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
COT
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 3
ARG
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
COS
1 - 0
UCB
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAU
1 - 5
COS
8%
14%
79%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
CAR
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
MOY
0 - 6
COS
5%
11%
84%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
COS
0 - 1
BAR
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |