Arguero vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arguero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 0
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 1
ARE
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SCB
1 - 3
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
MAN
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 0
ARG
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 2
UCO
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UCO
7 - 1
LDV
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
REA
0 - 1
UCO
19%
24%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |