Arguero vs Beredi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arguero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
EUL
3 - 1
ARG
43%
24%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
7 - 1
GUI
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PIL
1 - 2
ARG
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 2
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 0
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Beredi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
BER
52%
22%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BER
0 - 2
UCO
11%
19%
70%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 0
BER
40%
24%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BER
2 - 2
MAN
21%
22%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
BER
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |