Argentino General Alvear vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino General Alvear
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AGA
2 - 0
PAC
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
AGA
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 0
AGA
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AGA
2 - 0
AND
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 1
AGA
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
RQG
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RQG
0 - 0
NEW
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 1
CNU
66%
19%
16%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAH
1 - 2
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CNU
0 - 1
NEW
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |