CAF U20 Preliminary stages Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Algeria U20 vs Tunisia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
3 - 0
ALG
59%
21%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
63%
20%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MTN
2 - 0
ALG
11%
19%
71%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 1
MTN
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGY
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
3 - 0
ALG
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
63%
20%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
TUN
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
SEN
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |