Arganda vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
COL
1 - 0
ARG
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
NUM
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LEG
3 - 0
ARG
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
0 - 2
TRJ
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
CIE
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 1
SFN
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 0
CDS
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
TCF
94%
5%
2%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ZAR
2 - 1
TCF
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |