Arganda vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
ACF
3 - 0
ARG
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAL
56%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
LPA
4 - 2
ARG
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
TAL
45%
22%
32%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARG
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDT
73%
19%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
LEG
0 - 0
MAN
40%
31%
28%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
MAN
2 - 1
COL
63%
25%
12%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAN
60%
25%
15%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
MAN
1 - 1
SDA
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |