Arganda vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 0
YEB
38%
26%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOB
1 - 0
ARG
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
RMC
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 2
MOB
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 0
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
CDF
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PNT
1 - 2
CDF
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 0
CAM
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 3
YEB
44%
25%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |