Argentino Quilmes Rafaela vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Quilmes Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FDE
0 - 0
AQR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AQR
2 - 1
SPO
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 1
AQR
40%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AQR
1 - 2
FDE
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 3
AQR
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
LIB
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 2
FDE
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 1
AQR
40%
22%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FDE
2 - 0
LIB
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |