Ocniţa vs CF Riscani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+207%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
4º
4
11º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
ARO
46%
22%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 2
MIL
5%
12%
83%
|
33 | 71 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
4 - 0
FCO
22%
19%
59%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 2
VCU
28%
22%
51%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
FCT
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
CF Riscani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
3 - 1
CFR
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CFR
3 - 2
VCU
12%
16%
71%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 0
CFR
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CFR
0 - 1
EFV
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CFS
5 - 2
CFR
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |