Arevalo CF vs UD Serranillos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arevalo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FCN
5 - 0
ARE
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARE
3 - 1
TIE
60%
18%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARE
5 - 1
CVJ
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PEB
2 - 3
ARE
18%
17%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARE
7 - 0
ADR
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Serranillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
FCN
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CVJ
2 - 3
SER
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
TIE
44%
21%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SER
4 - 1
PEB
70%
16%
15%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 7
SER
22%
19%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +2 |