Aretxabaleta vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
CDU
4 - 0
ATX
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ATX
0 - 0
SDA
36%
29%
35%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 1
ATX
76%
15%
8%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ATX
0 - 0
BKE
54%
25%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
DEU
1 - 2
ATX
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
GER
0 - 0
EIB
26%
32%
42%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
AUR
1 - 1
GER
77%
17%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
ARE
1 - 0
GER
74%
18%
8%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
GER
0 - 2
CDU
29%
30%
41%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SDA
2 - 0
GER
69%
21%
11%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |